Harnessing Global Trade Shifts: Liberia’s Pathway to Economic Transformation

By James F. Kollie, Principal Advisor, Cardinal Point Advisors | April 13, 2025

As geopolitical tensions and trade wars between major economies disrupt global supply chains, countries like Liberia—often sidelined in traditional trade networks—have a rare opportunity to redefine their economic trajectories. With exports dominated by iron ore, rubber, and minimal gold, Liberia must act strategically to leverage this moment. Here’s how the nation can pivot from fragility to resilience and growth.

1. Diversify Agriculture and Agro-Processing

There is no dispute that Liberia is an agrarian economy. In this sector, we employ over 70% of its population and we still argue that it remains underutilized. While rubber dominates exports, the country has untapped potential in coffee, cocoa, oil palm, and cassava. There are many who dream that Liberia could move into services and tourism, but I will argue that those sectors require significant investment in physical infrastructure and human capital development. As important and promising as they are, I think they should come next in the pecking order. While we continue to collect rent from the exploitation of our depletable resources like iron ore and gold, we should the rent to begin to develop the infrastructure required to advance into services and tourism. However, the luxury of time is not there and therefore, we need to capitalize on the current global disruption to leapfrog our economy.

To capitalize on trade wars:

  • Shift to Value Addition: Instead of exporting raw rubber, invest in processing facilities for tires, latex products, or biofuels. Similarly, we can transform cocoa and coffee into premium goods for international markets. Even if the African Growth and Opportunity Act (AGOA) is no longer available, there is a global demand for these products and Liberia can position herself to tap into this market.
  • Leverage our vast arable land: Liberia has a vast amount of land that can be used to grow various agricultural products, ranging from rice to cassava to soybeans. Why not attract companies from China, India, Vietnam, or Russia to begin to grow and process these products in Liberia? Once there are mega farms, these will create market opportunities for outgrowers and smallholders.
  • Leverage Regional Demand: With Africa’s food import bill exceeding $60 billion annually, Liberia can target regional markets like ECOWAS by boosting rice and cassava production, reducing reliance on East Asian imports.

Example: The World Bank’s Rural Economic Transformation Project has already increased crop yields for 64,572 farmers. Scaling such initiatives could position Liberia as a regional breadbasket.

2. Accelerate Intra-Africa Trade Under AfCFTA

Africa’s intra-regional trade stands at just 15–20%, far below Europe (70%) or Asia (60%). Liberia’s membership in the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) offers a lifeline:

  • Target Niche Markets: Export timber, palm oil, and aquaculture products to neighboring countries. For instance, Ghana’s $1.7 billion poultry import gap could be filled by Liberian poultry farms.
  • Digital Trade Platforms: Adopt the Africa Trade Gateway to connect SMEs with buyers across the continent, bypassing traditional barriers.

Policy Action: Streamline cross-border customs and reduce non-tariff barriers, as recommended in Liberia’s Diagnostic Trade Integrated Study.

3. Revive Tourism as a Revenue Engine

Liberia’s pristine beaches, rainforests, and cultural heritage remain underexploited. Post-Ebola and COVID-19, global travelers seek “off-the-beaten-path” destinations:

  • Eco-Tourism and Surfing: Robertsport’s surf-friendly waves and Lake Piso’s biodiversity are prime assets. The Enhanced Integrated Framework (EIF) has already built visitor centers and trained 200 stakeholders here.
  • Cultural Festivals: Annual events like the 2022 Cultural Festival can attract diaspora engagement and international tourists.

Investment Needed: Partner with platforms like Afreximbank to fund hotel infrastructure and market Liberia as a sustainable tourism hub.

4. Build Renewable Energy and Infrastructure

High electricity costs (over $0.54/kWh) and poor roads stifle industrialization.

Solutions include:

  • Solar and Hydropower: The World Bank-backed RESPITE Project is developing 20 MW solar plants and expanding the Mt. Coffee Hydropower Plant. Reliable energy can attract light manufacturing (e.g., textiles, pharmaceuticals) to replace imports.
  • Port Modernization: Buchanan and Monrovia ports, critical for export logistics, require upgrades to handle increased agro-processing output.

5. Foster Digital and Financial Inclusion

Only 45% of Liberians have mobile phones, and SMEs struggle with trade finance. To bridge gaps:

  • Mobile Money Systems: The REALISE Project has already connected 53,000 households to digital payments. Scaling this can empower rural farmers and informal traders.
  • E-Commerce Readiness: Implement the 2018 e-Trade Readiness Assessment to integrate Liberia into global digital value chains.

Conclusion: A Call for Strategic Partnerships

Liberia’s success hinges on collaboration. The government must:

  • Strengthen institutions (e.g., the National Investment Commission) to attract FDI in agro-processing and renewables.
  • Partner with Afreximbank and the World Bank to de-risk private investments.
  • Prioritize education and vocational training to build human capital for a diversified economy.

Trade wars are not just disruptions—they are invitations to innovate. By focusing on regional integration, value addition, and green energy, Liberia can transform from a commodity-dependent nation into a resilient, diversified economy. The time to act is now.


Let’s discuss: What other sectors should Liberia prioritize? Share your thoughts below. #EconomicDevelopment #TradeWars #LiberiaRising #AfCFTA #SustainableGrowth

Unlocking Liberia’s Investment Potential: Key Sectors for Economic Growth

Liberia, a West African nation rich in natural resources and positioned at the heart of the African continent, presents numerous opportunities for foreign investors seeking to tap into a growing economy. With a rapidly improving business environment and an abundance of key sectors ripe for development, Liberia is positioning itself as an attractive destination for foreign direct investment (FDI). This blog post will explore the most promising Liberia investment opportunities, highlighting the key sectors in Liberia that have the potential to drive long-term economic growth in Liberia.

1. Agriculture: The Backbone of Liberia’s Economy

Agriculture is the largest sector in Liberia, contributing significantly to the country’s GDP and employing a majority of its population. With fertile land and a climate suitable for a wide range of crops, including rice, cassava, cocoa, and palm oil, there are vast investment opportunities in Liberia’s agricultural sector.

Investing in agro-processing, value-added production, and mechanization can not only boost domestic food security but also position Liberia as a key exporter within West Africa. Given the global demand for organic and sustainably grown products, the potential for growth in Liberia’s agriculture sector is immense, offering foreign investors a chance to participate in both primary agriculture and agro-industrial ventures.

2. Mining and Natural Resources: Tapping into Liberia’s Wealth

Liberia is home to vast mineral resources, including iron ore, gold, and diamonds. The mining sector has historically been one of the largest contributors to economic growth in Liberia, and it remains one of the key pillars of the country’s investment landscape.

For foreign investors, Liberia’s mining industry presents opportunities in exploration, extraction, and the development of mining infrastructure. With increasing global demand for minerals, this sector holds the potential for long-term returns, making it a crucial part of foreign direct investment in Liberia.

In addition, Liberia’s government has shown a commitment to creating a conducive business environment in Liberia by implementing reforms aimed at improving the mining sector’s transparency and governance, ensuring it remains a key sector for growth.

3. Infrastructure Development: Bridging the Gap

Liberia’s infrastructure, though improving, still presents significant opportunities for foreign investors. Investment is needed in areas such as roads, ports, energy, and telecommunications. The country is looking to rebuild its infrastructure after years of conflict, and foreign investors can play a pivotal role in providing the capital and expertise necessary to bring these projects to life.

The Liberian government has been actively promoting public-private partnerships (PPPs) as a way to encourage foreign direct investment in Liberia and drive development in key sectors. By investing in infrastructure, investors not only contribute to economic growth in Liberia but also create the backbone for future investments in other industries such as agriculture, tourism, and manufacturing.

4. Tourism: Untapped Potential

Liberia’s lush landscapes, pristine beaches, and rich cultural heritage make it an emerging destination for tourism. Although the sector is still in its infancy, the potential for growth is significant. From eco-tourism in Liberia’s national parks to the development of resorts along its coastline, there are ample investment opportunities in Liberia for foreign investors looking to capitalize on this underdeveloped sector.

With increased investment in transport and hospitality infrastructure, Liberia’s tourism industry could become a significant driver of economic growth in Liberia. The government’s focus on improving the business environment in Liberia for the tourism sector includes creating incentives for foreign investors, such as tax breaks and reduced barriers to entry.

5. Energy: Powering Economic Growth

Access to reliable and affordable energy is a key driver of economic development, and Liberia’s energy sector offers great potential for investors. The country is rich in renewable energy resources, particularly hydroelectric and solar power, and has embarked on an ambitious plan to expand its energy grid to underserved areas.

Foreign investors can tap into opportunities in power generation, transmission, and distribution, helping to close the energy gap and power industries across the country. Investment in renewable energy, in particular, aligns with global trends towards sustainability and offers long-term growth potential.

Liberia’s Improving Business Environment

A key factor in unlocking Liberia’s investment potential lies in its improving business environment. In recent years, the Liberian government has implemented reforms aimed at enhancing the ease of doing business, improving regulatory frameworks, and providing investment incentives. These reforms have made it easier for foreign investors to establish businesses, repatriate profits, and participate in joint ventures with local enterprises.

Additionally, Liberia’s membership in regional and international organizations such as the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) and the World Trade Organization (WTO) provides investors with access to broader markets and trade opportunities. This improved business environment in Liberia is crucial in attracting foreign direct investment in Liberia and promoting sustainable economic development.

Conclusion: A New Frontier for Investors

As Liberia continues to recover from past challenges and focus on growth, its potential as an investment destination cannot be overstated. The country’s rich natural resources, strategic location, and commitment to reforming its business climate make it a compelling choice for investors looking to enter new markets. Whether in agriculture, mining, infrastructure, tourism, or energy, the key sectors in Liberia offer abundant investment opportunities in Liberia that can drive both profits and economic growth in Liberia for years to come.

Investors who recognize Liberia’s potential now will not only benefit from first-mover advantage but also contribute to the nation’s ongoing development, helping to shape the future of West Africa’s growing economies.

connect with us @ www.cardinalpointadvisors.net for more interesting opportunities and how to get started in Liberia